The expense is nullified by home-and-home series, because of the payment received for the away portion. The going rate for home games is approximately $75,000. “If we want to maximize NCAA bids,” Jarmond said, “we have to get away from putting ourselves at risk. Those are lose-lose matchups within the NET algorithm: A victory provides no upside, but a loss can undercut your ranking and potentially drag down other teams in the conference. It does the collective no good when members play road games against Big Sky, Big West or West Coast Conference teams (unless it’s Gonzaga). Too often, Pac-12 teams agree to home-and-home series with schools from mid-major conferences or one-bid leagues. “(iv) no road games versus a non-conference opponent with a five-year trailing average of 200 NET.īut a schedule light on cupcakes doesn’t necessarily maximize chances for success. “(iii) no regular season games against non-Division I opponents and, “(ii) no participation in road buy games, “(i) a non-Conference five-year trailing average of opponents’ NET ranking must be 175 or less, To avoid non-conference schedules filled with cupcakes, the Pac-12 in 2019 implemented scheduling standards built on four pillars: You don’t get penalized for playing up.”īut “playing up” requires a financial and emotional investment.Ĭoaches “can’t under-schedule” to save their jobs, Boyle said. From what I learned being in the (committee) room, scheduling harder maximizes your opportunities. “I told the (Pac-12) head coaches that it’s about who you play, where you play, and how you do. “But if your goal is the NCAA Tournament, then it’s a different situation. “If you’re trying to build a culture and establish a successful program, you might want to schedule lighter because you need wins for people to see that you’re on the rise,’’ said UCLA athletic director Martin Jarmond, a member of the NCAA selection committee. Wait too long to line up quality opponents and options could be limited.Ĭommit to premium matchups too early and attrition might leave you overmatched. Those impacted only a few players - and on some teams, no one at all.īut the transfer portal has created an extended free agency period that can affect half the roster and unfolds concurrently with scheduling decisions.Ĭoaches don’t know who’s staying, who’s leaving or who’s arriving. That has become much more difficult.”įor decades, coaches had one consideration when projecting roster strength: NBA Draft decisions. “It’s about being realistic about what your team is going to look like. “The whole key for the Pac-12 is that we have to perform well in November and December,” Boyle said. Six times in the past 10 years, the Pac-12 won less than 70 percent of its non-conference games each time, it received two or three NCAA bids. Four times in the past 10 years, the Pac-12 won at least 70 percent of its non-conference games each time, it received four or more NCAA Tournament bids. Success creates a multiplier effect that elevates middle-tier teams throughout the eat-your-own nature of conference play.Īt the same time, early-season failure creates a lasting sinkhole that swallows teams and leaves only the very best in position for NCAA bids. ![]() ![]() Decisions are guided by advanced metrics (for example, the NET rankings) that weigh the results of non-conference games. The tournament selection committee gathers in Indianapolis on the second weekend of March to extend bids and create the 68-team field. The challenge is how do we consistently get more teams in.”
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